Tom McIlroy
8 Sept 2024
The Coalition could be on track to win back teal electorates in Victoria and Western Australia, with new polling suggesting Labor is facing minority government and the loss of up to 10 seats.
With an election due before May, the poll of nearly 6000 voters nationally shows Labor’s vote has declined slightly since earlier this year.
The polling shows Labor is most vulnerable in the outer suburbs of the capital cities and in the regions.
On a two-party-preferred basis, the poll suggests the parties are locked at 50-50.
If an election were held now, the Coalition could win seats including Gilmore, on the NSW south coast, Paterson in the NSW Hunter Valley, Lingiari in the NT and Lyons in Tasmania from Labor, and be competitive in the Melbourne seat of Goldstein and the Perth seat of Curtin. The latter two were lost by the Liberals in 2022, to teal independents Zoe Daniel and Kate Chaney, and are at 53-47 on a two-party-preferred basis.
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